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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+8.52vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+6.46vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+7.26vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.06+6.11vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.13vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+4.37vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.75+0.39vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.69-0.46vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.47-0.49vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.04+0.61vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.55-2.59vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.39-6.65vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.40-4.33vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.82-7.12vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-1.92vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.37-7.02vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.81-2.13vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.62-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.52Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.46Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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10.11Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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10.37Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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7.39Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.54Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.51Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.61College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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8.41Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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5.35Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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6.88Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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13.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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8.98Tulane University2.370.0%1st Place
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14.87Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.87Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Bridget Green | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 4.0% |
| Sarah Young | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.6% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Deana Fedulova | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 18.5% |
| Samantha Gardner | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 41.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.