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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.63+1.13vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+1.18vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.90-0.01vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College2.88-0.98vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.52-0.15vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University0.80-0.32vs Predicted
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7Penn State University0.21-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13University of Pennsylvania3.630.4%1st Place
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3.18Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.2%1st Place
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2.99Princeton University2.900.2%1st Place
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3.02Ocean County College2.880.2%1st Place
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4.85Drexel University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.68Rutgers University0.800.0%1st Place
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6.15Penn State University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halsey Richartz | 40.8% | 27.1% | 16.6% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 15.3% | 20.2% | 22.4% | 22.3% | 14.0% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Allison Tracy | 16.7% | 24.5% | 22.0% | 21.5% | 11.0% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 19.8% | 19.0% | 22.8% | 20.5% | 13.5% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Bergan | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 32.0% | 25.5% | 11.2% |
| Ross Nuechterlein | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 17.1% | 36.2% | 30.9% |
| Jarrett Scherrer | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 24.8% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.