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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+2.75vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.18+7.65vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.97+3.63vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81+3.24vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.99+3.81vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.73+3.24vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.02-2.15vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.13+4.90vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22-0.22vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+0.09vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-1.38-4.73vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.05+0.77vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.01-4.14vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.16-2.66vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.65-2.64vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.55-6.10vs Predicted
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18George Washington University0.93-7.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Yale University2.7123.2%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Naval Academy1.183.4%1st Place
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6.63Roger Williams University1.978.3%1st Place
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7.24College of Charleston1.816.9%1st Place
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5.49Georgetown University2.2012.5%1st Place
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9.81University of Rhode Island0.993.8%1st Place
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10.24Clemson University0.732.5%1st Place
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5.85Tulane University2.0210.6%1st Place
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13.9Rollins College-0.130.9%1st Place
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9.78Northeastern University1.223.9%1st Place
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11.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.492.5%1st Place
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7.27Jacksonville University-1.386.9%1st Place
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13.77University of Vermont-0.051.2%1st Place
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9.86Brown University1.014.3%1st Place
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12.34Northwestern University0.161.8%1st Place
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13.36Christopher Newport University0.651.3%1st Place
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10.9Tufts University0.552.4%1st Place
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10.05George Washington University0.933.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 23.2% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Samantha Gardner | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 25.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Ella Demand | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Emily Allen | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ella Towner | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 23.1% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Grace Bray | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 18.8% |
| Kiana Beachy | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.