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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.71+2.04vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.90+2.35vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.50+3.07vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+2.36vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.62+4.32vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.38+0.71vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47+2.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine0.49-1.50vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-0.38-0.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-4.77vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.58-2.08vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy-0.45-3.39vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.70-3.45vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.19-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04University of Southern California1.7126.9%1st Place
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4.35University of Southern California0.9015.4%1st Place
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6.07Northeastern University0.507.3%1st Place
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6.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.838.4%1st Place
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9.32Arizona State University-0.621.7%1st Place
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6.71University of Southern California0.386.8%1st Place
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9.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.473.1%1st Place
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6.5University of California at Irvine0.496.5%1st Place
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8.82California State University Channel Islands-0.383.2%1st Place
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5.23University of California at Santa Cruz0.9110.3%1st Place
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8.92University of California at San Diego-0.583.0%1st Place
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8.61California Poly Maritime Academy-0.453.6%1st Place
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9.55University of California at San Diego-0.702.8%1st Place
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12.51University of California at Davis-2.190.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 26.9% | 23.6% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 15.4% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Kisling | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 7.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 5.3% |
| Arin Bekem | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 5.2% |
| Colin Olson | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lipps | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 5.3% |
| Christopher Shintani | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 9.1% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 12.2% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.