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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.49+7.48vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+6.98vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.44+5.72vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.30+5.25vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.23+4.85vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+2.63vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.16vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.23+1.86vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.60-1.24vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.95-3.69vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.49-2.73vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.48+1.19vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.07-2.97vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-4.68vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.04-0.73vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.78-4.58vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.29-3.49vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.74-6.46vs Predicted
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19Columbia University2.13-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.48Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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8.72Georgetown University3.440.1%1st Place
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9.25Old Dominion University3.300.1%1st Place
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9.85Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.1%1st Place
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6.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.86Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.76SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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6.31College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.27University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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13.19Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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10.03Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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9.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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14.27Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.42Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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13.51Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
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13.76Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Houck | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Gowell | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Gary Herring | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Rob Struckett | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Harry Scott | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Ben Spector | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Will Stocke | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% |
| George Saunders | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 26.8% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 15.9% |
| Hunter Mumma | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% |
| David Coplon | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.