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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.56+6.19vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.34+6.04vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.41+9.08vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.52+7.15vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.63+1.66vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.60+5.03vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.63+3.82vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.58-1.14vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.48-1.78vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.43-2.29vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.19+1.78vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.77-1.38vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.73-2.70vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.37-6.48vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.38-7.35vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.50-4.52vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-7.26vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-5.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.04Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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12.08University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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11.15Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.66Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.03College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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10.82Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.86Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.22Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.71Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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12.78U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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10.62Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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10.3Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.52Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.65Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.48Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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9.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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12.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% |
| Laura Hamilton | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% |
| Marina Conde | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% |
| Sophie Fisher | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| bella casaretto | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Ava Farley | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 20.1% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 13.0% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.