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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.63+5.92vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.77+8.54vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.52+8.59vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.38+3.63vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.56+1.95vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.19+6.68vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.43+0.49vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.50vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.34-1.26vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.60+1.19vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.37-3.12vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.50-0.21vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.63-2.28vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-2.02vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.73-4.60vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.58-9.04vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.48-9.57vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.41-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.54Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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11.59Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.63Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.95Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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12.68U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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7.49Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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7.74Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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11.19College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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7.88Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.79Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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10.72Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
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11.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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10.4Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.96Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.43Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 8.1% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.6% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Ava Farley | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 19.0% |
| bella casaretto | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.3% |
| Marina Conde | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 14.3% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% |
| Sophie Fisher | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.