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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+6.53vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.52+9.64vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.38+4.91vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.77+6.15vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.63+5.73vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.34+1.86vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.50+4.42vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.63-1.37vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+3.32vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.56-2.77vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.43-3.39vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.58-4.74vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-3.57vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.19-1.69vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.73-4.57vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.60-4.92vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.41-5.04vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.37-10.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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11.64Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.91Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.15Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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10.73Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
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7.86Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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11.42Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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6.63Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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12.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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7.23Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.61Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.26Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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12.31U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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10.43Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.08College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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11.96University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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7.51Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% |
| Marina Conde | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 9.7% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 13.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| bella casaretto | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Ava Farley | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 16.6% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Emily Alfortish | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.