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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.63+9.97vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.77+8.47vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.56+4.21vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.34+3.76vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43+2.44vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.58+0.86vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.41+4.79vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.37-0.31vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.63-2.37vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.73+0.81vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.52+0.39vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.60-0.59vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.19-0.53vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.50-2.88vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-2.73vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-6.29vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.48-9.55vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.38-10.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.97Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
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10.47Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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7.21Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.76Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.86Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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11.79University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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7.69Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.63Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.81Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.41College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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12.47U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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11.12Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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12.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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9.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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7.45Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.56Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Conde | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| bella casaretto | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Sophie Fisher | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 10.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% |
| Emily Alfortish | 1.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% |
| Ava Farley | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 17.9% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 15.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.