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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.19+11.73vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+4.88vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.77+7.54vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.56+2.92vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.60+5.84vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.56vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.58-0.12vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.48-0.75vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.41+2.77vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.50+1.62vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.43-3.27vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-0.32vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.34-5.22vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.36-6.54vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.63-4.21vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.38-8.21vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-4.54vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.73-7.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.73U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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6.88Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.54Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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10.84College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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9.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.88Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.25Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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11.77University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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11.62Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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7.73Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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11.68Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.78Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.46Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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10.79Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
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7.79Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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12.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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10.33Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Farley | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 20.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Sophie Fisher | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 8.6% |
| bella casaretto | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 11.5% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Emily Doble | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Marina Conde | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% |
| Ava Anderson | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 16.8% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.