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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+6.12vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.19+10.91vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.50+8.66vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.63+6.72vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.48+2.26vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.58vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.38+0.67vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.77+2.24vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.56-2.12vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.63-3.08vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.43-3.39vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.60-0.63vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.34-5.26vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.52-3.00vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.36-7.32vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-3.58vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.41-5.07vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.73-7.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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12.91U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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11.66Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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10.72Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
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7.26Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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9.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.67Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.24Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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6.88Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.92Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.61Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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11.37College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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7.74Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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11.0Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.68Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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12.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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10.3Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ava Farley | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 18.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% |
| Marina Conde | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 6.6% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Laura Hamilton | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% |
| Emily Doble | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 16.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.9% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.