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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.38+6.84vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.36+5.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.19+9.79vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.58+2.75vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.50+6.18vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.63+4.78vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.48+0.26vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.41+3.58vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.34-1.34vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.43-2.33vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.56-3.97vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.63-5.04vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.60-2.25vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.52-3.09vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.77-4.85vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-3.69vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.30-4.73vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-8.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.84Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.88Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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12.79U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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6.75Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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11.18Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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10.78Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
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7.26Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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11.58University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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7.66Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.03Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.96Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.75College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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10.91Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.15Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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12.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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12.27Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| Emily Doble | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Ava Farley | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 16.6% |
| Sophie Fisher | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% |
| Marina Conde | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| bella casaretto | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 15.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 14.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.