← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.58+6.07vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.63+4.72vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.34+4.99vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.43+3.33vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.48+2.17vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.36+1.68vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.47vs Predicted
-
8Tulane University2.38-0.47vs Predicted
-
9Boston College1.77+1.20vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy1.19+2.78vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.86vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.56-4.77vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University1.63-2.39vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University1.50-3.04vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University1.30-2.91vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University1.52-4.75vs Predicted
-
17College of Charleston1.60-5.96vs Predicted
-
18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.07Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
-
6.72Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
-
7.99Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
-
7.33Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
-
7.17Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
-
7.68Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
-
9.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
-
7.53Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
-
10.2Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
-
12.78U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
-
11.86University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
-
7.23Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
10.61Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
-
10.96Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
-
12.09Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
-
11.25Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
11.04College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
-
12.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| bella casaretto | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 9.0% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Emily Doble | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% |
| Ava Farley | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 18.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 12.4% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Marina Conde | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.