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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.60+10.03vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.48+5.35vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.38+4.84vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.36+3.59vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.56+1.88vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.58+0.78vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.43+0.40vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.41+3.53vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.41vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52+1.50vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.19+1.63vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.77-1.48vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.63-2.42vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.50-3.04vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.63-8.46vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.30-3.88vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.34-9.08vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.03College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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7.35Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.84Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.59Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.88Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.78Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.4Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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11.53University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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11.5Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.63U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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10.52Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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10.58Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
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10.96Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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6.54Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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12.12Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.92Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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12.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Alfortish | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Emily Doble | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% |
| Ava Farley | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 16.5% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% |
| Marina Conde | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Sabrina Starck | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.