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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.34+6.97vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.58+4.95vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.63+3.77vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.48+3.14vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.38+2.54vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.43+1.37vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.50vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.41+3.53vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.36-1.44vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.63+1.00vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.52+0.36vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.56-4.80vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.19-0.62vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.30-2.26vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.50-3.74vs Predicted
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16Boston College1.77-5.82vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-4.22vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.60-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.95Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.77Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.14Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.54Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.37Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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11.53University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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7.56Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.0Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
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11.36Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.2Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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12.38U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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11.74Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.26Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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10.18Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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12.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.0%1st Place
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10.76College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Sophie Fisher | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| bella casaretto | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% |
| Emily Doble | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Marina Conde | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Ava Farley | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 16.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Sabrina Starck | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 18.6% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.