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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+6.44vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.38+5.80vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.36+4.91vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.58+2.76vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.41+6.46vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.60+4.92vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.56-0.12vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.77+2.09vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.43-1.69vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.19+2.75vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17+1.70vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.63-0.90vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.30-1.12vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.63-7.59vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.34-7.32vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.52-4.72vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-7.44vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University1.50-6.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.8Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.91Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.76Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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11.46University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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10.92College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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6.88Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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10.09Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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7.31Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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12.75U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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12.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.0%1st Place
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11.1Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
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11.88Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.41Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.68Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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11.28Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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11.09Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% |
| Emily Doble | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Fisher | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| bella casaretto | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ava Farley | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 18.1% |
| Sabrina Starck | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 16.7% |
| Marina Conde | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 10.1% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.