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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+5.97vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.48+5.33vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.63+3.69vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.38+3.47vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.77+4.99vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.41+5.58vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.36+0.60vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.30+3.85vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.34-1.45vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.43-2.39vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.74+2.99vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.19+0.67vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-3.79vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.83-4.52vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.56-8.20vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.63-5.28vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.52-5.81vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.33Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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6.69Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.47Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.99Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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7.6Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.85Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.55Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.61Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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13.99Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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12.67U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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9.48College of Charleston1.830.0%1st Place
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6.8Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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10.72Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
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11.19Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% |
| Emily Doble | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 28.3% |
| Ava Farley | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 15.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Marina Conde | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 5.8% |
| Sabrina Starck | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.