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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+6.37vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.34+5.93vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.83+7.04vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.58+2.66vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43+2.24vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.38+1.47vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.63+3.59vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.77+1.94vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.63-2.55vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-0.43vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.56-4.08vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.41-0.18vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-0.70vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.19-1.97vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.36-7.47vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.30-3.93vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.52-5.76vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University0.74-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.93Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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10.04College of Charleston1.830.0%1st Place
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6.66Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.47Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.59Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
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9.94Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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6.45Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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11.82University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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12.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.0%1st Place
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12.03U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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7.53Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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12.07Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.24Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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13.86Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Sophie Fisher | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Marina Conde | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% |
| Sabrina Starck | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 14.1% |
| Ava Farley | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.4% |
| Emily Doble | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.