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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.38+6.70vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.58+4.82vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.36+4.79vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.34+3.61vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.77+4.94vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.40vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.43+0.28vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.41+3.39vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.30+2.93vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.63-3.23vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.83-1.10vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.56-4.84vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.74+0.81vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.48-7.09vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.19-2.62vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.63-5.33vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.52-5.77vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.82Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.79Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.61Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.94Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.28Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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11.39University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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11.93Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.77Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.9College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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7.16Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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13.81Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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6.91Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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12.38U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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10.67Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
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11.23Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Fisher | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emily Doble | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| bella casaretto | 7.6% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 27.7% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ava Farley | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 13.1% |
| Marina Conde | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% |
| Sabrina Starck | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.