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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.38+6.79vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.34+5.79vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.36+4.72vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.30+7.77vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.58+1.71vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.63+0.54vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.52+4.08vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.48-0.97vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.25vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.77+0.31vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.83-1.04vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.43-4.36vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.56-6.29vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.81vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.74-1.05vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.19-3.49vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-4.38vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.63-7.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.79Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.79Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.72Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.77Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.71Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.54Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.08Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.03Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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9.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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10.31Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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9.96College of Charleston1.830.0%1st Place
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7.64Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.71Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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11.19University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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13.95Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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12.51U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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12.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.0%1st Place
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10.44Old Dominion University1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Emily Doble | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% |
| Sophie Fisher | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Laura Hamilton | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 5.8% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% |
| bella casaretto | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 27.3% |
| Ava Farley | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15.5% |
| Sabrina Starck | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 15.8% |
| Marina Conde | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.