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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+5.39vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.50+3.90vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.71+0.09vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands-0.38+4.78vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.38+1.64vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.62+3.26vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-1.70vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine0.49-1.59vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47+0.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.70-0.40vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.58-2.20vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy-0.45-3.26vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.19-0.38vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.90-9.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.836.3%1st Place
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5.9Northeastern University0.508.2%1st Place
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3.09University of Southern California1.7127.6%1st Place
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8.78California State University Channel Islands-0.383.1%1st Place
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6.64University of Southern California0.387.1%1st Place
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9.26Arizona State University-0.622.4%1st Place
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5.3University of California at Santa Cruz0.9110.6%1st Place
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6.41University of California at Irvine0.497.1%1st Place
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9.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.473.4%1st Place
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9.6University of California at San Diego-0.702.6%1st Place
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8.8University of California at San Diego-0.582.8%1st Place
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8.74California Poly Maritime Academy-0.453.5%1st Place
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12.62University of California at Davis-2.190.5%1st Place
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4.41University of Southern California0.9014.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kisling | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Carter Anderson | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 27.6% | 21.2% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 4.4% |
| Edward Ansart | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 6.7% |
| Colin Olson | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Arin Bekem | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 7.5% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 8.2% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 5.3% |
| Christopher Shintani | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 4.0% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 62.3% |
| Morgana Manti | 14.8% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.