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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.22+4.50vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.19+8.51vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.52+5.11vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.79+3.31vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.14+4.56vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.37+2.70vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.43+1.54vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72-0.77vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-1.08vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.53-1.83vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.10-1.34vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-5.41vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.84-6.12vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-5.13vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.92-8.24vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-3.11-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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10.51North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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8.11Maine Maritime Academy0.520.1%1st Place
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7.31Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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9.56University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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8.7Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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7.23Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.1%1st Place
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8.17University of Vermont0.530.1%1st Place
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9.66Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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6.59St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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6.88Bowdoin College0.840.1%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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6.76Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
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15.7University of Michigan-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 12.5% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Annika Milstien | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 20.3% | 2.7% |
| Ella Beauregard | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 1.2% |
| Laura Smith | 5.2% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Ella Demand | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 0.4% |
| Ella Towner | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Murray | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 1.0% |
| Lina Carper | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Brett | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 1.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Julia Pressman | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 3.7% | 91.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.