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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.92+5.79vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+4.68vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.22+2.85vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.53+4.51vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.72+2.66vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.19+4.86vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.52+1.49vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.37+0.82vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.84-1.87vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19-4.00vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.43-2.31vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.79-4.56vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-3.81vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.54-5.84vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.10-4.98vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-3.11-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
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6.68St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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5.85George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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8.51University of Vermont0.530.1%1st Place
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7.66Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
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10.86North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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8.49Maine Maritime Academy0.520.1%1st Place
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8.82Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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7.13Bowdoin College0.840.1%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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8.69University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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7.44Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Rhode Island0.540.1%1st Place
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10.02Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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15.7University of Michigan-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 7.3% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 12.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ella Towner | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Annika Milstien | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 23.8% | 2.4% |
| Ella Beauregard | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 0.2% |
| Laura Smith | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Brett | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Celia Houston | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 1.2% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Murray | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 1.2% |
| Julia Pressman | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 92.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.