Race 8B

women-atlantic-coast-tournament

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Laura Smith 3.8% 6.3% 5.7% 6.0% 5.8% 4.8% 7.2% 6.7% 6.0% 6.1% 7.8% 8.8% 7.8% 9.0% 7.9% 0.3%
Celia Houston 11.9% 11.6% 10.6% 9.1% 7.5% 8.0% 8.4% 5.7% 6.2% 5.8% 5.8% 3.8% 2.6% 1.7% 1.3% 0.0%
Lucy Paskoff 7.8% 5.7% 6.1% 7.6% 6.8% 7.6% 7.5% 6.9% 7.6% 8.3% 8.0% 5.4% 6.0% 5.4% 3.0% 0.3%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 10.1% 11.4% 10.3% 9.4% 8.8% 9.9% 6.0% 7.4% 5.9% 5.3% 5.1% 5.1% 2.4% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Izzy Wu-Karr 7.9% 8.3% 7.9% 9.0% 7.6% 8.6% 7.3% 8.4% 6.1% 7.1% 5.7% 4.9% 4.8% 4.0% 2.2% 0.2%
Sophie Brett 7.3% 6.2% 9.7% 8.6% 7.6% 6.8% 6.4% 7.3% 8.2% 5.7% 7.3% 5.4% 5.6% 5.0% 2.5% 0.4%
Marissa Tegeder 5.4% 6.0% 4.8% 5.6% 5.3% 5.7% 6.1% 5.5% 7.6% 6.7% 7.7% 7.4% 9.2% 8.4% 8.3% 0.3%
Ella Towner 5.4% 7.9% 5.3% 6.0% 6.4% 6.2% 6.6% 6.6% 6.8% 8.1% 6.5% 7.8% 7.2% 7.3% 5.5% 0.4%
Kaitlyn Liebel 7.7% 7.0% 7.5% 7.4% 8.3% 7.2% 8.2% 7.5% 7.0% 7.4% 6.0% 4.6% 5.8% 4.1% 4.1% 0.2%
Annika VanderHorst 4.7% 4.3% 4.2% 4.5% 4.3% 5.4% 5.7% 5.4% 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 9.1% 9.0% 9.7% 9.4% 1.3%
Lauren Murray 4.7% 3.8% 3.7% 4.5% 4.7% 4.2% 4.2% 5.7% 6.4% 6.3% 6.7% 7.5% 9.9% 12.0% 14.9% 0.8%
Emaline Ouellette 6.0% 5.1% 6.2% 6.3% 8.1% 6.1% 6.2% 6.5% 6.9% 6.6% 6.6% 7.7% 8.1% 6.8% 6.2% 0.6%
Lina Carper 8.6% 8.5% 9.9% 6.8% 8.7% 8.0% 9.0% 8.1% 6.0% 6.2% 4.2% 6.0% 4.7% 3.3% 1.9% 0.1%
Annika Milstien 2.9% 3.0% 2.8% 2.5% 3.4% 4.1% 5.8% 4.9% 5.3% 5.0% 6.6% 7.5% 8.5% 12.2% 23.2% 2.3%
Ella Beauregard 5.8% 4.9% 5.1% 6.5% 6.6% 7.1% 5.0% 6.9% 6.9% 7.3% 7.6% 8.6% 7.9% 7.7% 5.9% 0.2%
Julia Pressman 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 1.6% 2.7% 92.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.