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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+4.41vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.22+3.27vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+3.14vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.79+2.76vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.52+1.78vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.19+3.16vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.54-0.37vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.72-1.93vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.53-2.39vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.43-2.88vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-3.40vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.92-6.37vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.37-5.47vs Predicted
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15Fordham University-0.08-5.35vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-3.11-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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5.27George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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6.14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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6.76Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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7.78Maine Maritime Academy0.520.1%1st Place
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10.16North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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7.63University of Rhode Island0.540.1%1st Place
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7.07Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
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7.61University of Vermont0.530.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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6.63Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
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8.53Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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9.65Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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14.65University of Michigan-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celia Houston | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Ella Beauregard | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 0.4% |
| Annika Milstien | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 22.3% | 2.5% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Ella Towner | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 0.6% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 1.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smith | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 0.5% |
| Anna Robertson | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 1.6% |
| Julia Pressman | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 4.0% | 90.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.