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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.44+7.62vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+6.71vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.36+6.06vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.49+4.38vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.95+1.65vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.60+1.89vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+2.22vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.23+1.78vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.31vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.23-0.56vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.30-1.85vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.78-0.05vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.74-1.50vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.49-5.53vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.07-4.88vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.29-2.46vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.04-2.64vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.48-5.33vs Predicted
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19Columbia University2.13-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62Georgetown University3.440.1%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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8.38Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.65College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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7.89SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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9.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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9.78Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.44Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.15Old Dominion University3.300.1%1st Place
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11.95Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
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8.47University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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10.12Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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13.54Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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14.36Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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12.67Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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13.79Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gowell | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Gary Herring | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Scott Houck | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Ben Spector | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Harry Scott | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Rob Struckett | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Robert Savoie | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% |
| Hunter Mumma | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% |
| Will Stocke | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| George Saunders | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 15.9% |
| Alex Reynolds | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 26.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% |
| David Coplon | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.