← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University1.22+4.33vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University-0.19+6.89vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+1.37vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+1.19vs Predicted
-
6Boston University0.72+1.15vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University0.37+1.26vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College0.92-1.63vs Predicted
-
9Maine Maritime Academy0.52-1.25vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island0.54-2.36vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont0.53-3.24vs Predicted
-
12University of Wisconsin0.43-3.93vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-4.21vs Predicted
-
14Jacksonville University0.79-6.93vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University-0.08-5.29vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan-3.11-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.33George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
-
9.89North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
-
5.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
-
6.19St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
-
7.15Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
-
8.26Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
-
6.37Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
-
7.75Maine Maritime Academy0.520.1%1st Place
-
7.64University of Rhode Island0.540.1%1st Place
-
7.76University of Vermont0.530.1%1st Place
-
8.07University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
-
8.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
7.07Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
-
9.71Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
-
14.64University of Michigan-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 12.9% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Annika Milstien | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 20.6% | 3.0% |
| Celia Houston | 13.0% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Laura Smith | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 0.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ella Beauregard | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 0.6% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Ella Towner | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 1.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 0.6% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Anna Robertson | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 1.5% |
| Julia Pressman | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 90.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.