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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+4.16vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.22+2.24vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.37+4.18vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.72+2.05vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.92+0.49vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.58vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19-2.50vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.53-1.27vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.79-3.28vs Predicted
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11Fordham University-0.08-1.17vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.54-4.27vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.43-4.77vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.19-3.75vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.52-7.33vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-3.11-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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5.24George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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8.18Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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7.05Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
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6.49Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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5.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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7.73University of Vermont0.530.1%1st Place
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6.72Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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9.83Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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7.73University of Rhode Island0.540.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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10.25North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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7.67Maine Maritime Academy0.520.1%1st Place
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14.62University of Michigan-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lina Carper | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smith | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 9.2% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 0.7% |
| Celia Houston | 12.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ella Towner | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Anna Robertson | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 18.5% | 2.5% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 0.2% |
| Annika Milstien | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 24.3% | 2.3% |
| Ella Beauregard | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 0.3% |
| Julia Pressman | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 89.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.