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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.37+7.14vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+3.35vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.54+4.58vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.52+3.72vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+1.35vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.79-0.12vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.22-2.59vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.19+1.12vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.53-2.39vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.92-4.58vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.72-4.93vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.43-4.69vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-5.26vs Predicted
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15Fordham University-0.08-5.32vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-3.11-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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5.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Rhode Island0.540.1%1st Place
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7.72Maine Maritime Academy0.520.1%1st Place
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6.35St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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6.88Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.41George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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10.12North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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7.61University of Vermont0.530.1%1st Place
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6.42Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
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7.07Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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9.68Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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14.63University of Michigan-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Smith | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 1.0% |
| Celia Houston | 13.0% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Ella Beauregard | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 0.6% |
| Lina Carper | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 13.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Annika Milstien | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 22.3% | 3.5% |
| Ella Towner | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 0.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 0.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 0.6% |
| Anna Robertson | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 18.6% | 1.5% |
| Julia Pressman | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 89.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.