Race 1A

reese-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Buck Rathbun 22.8% 18.3% 17.2% 15.8% 11.0% 8.9% 4.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Marykate Hanus 16.4% 20.2% 16.6% 17.5% 12.4% 10.5% 5.1% 1.3% 0.0%
Isaac Thompson 15.3% 13.5% 16.4% 16.1% 13.7% 13.8% 9.5% 1.6% 0.1%
Jack Whitman 10.6% 11.5% 12.4% 14.1% 15.5% 14.6% 17.6% 3.4% 0.3%
William Delong 17.5% 19.7% 15.0% 12.2% 14.1% 11.9% 7.2% 2.1% 0.3%
Myles Hazen 8.0% 7.8% 11.0% 11.7% 15.2% 18.3% 22.5% 5.0% 0.5%
Marguerite Deseau 8.0% 7.8% 9.4% 10.6% 14.5% 17.8% 25.0% 6.3% 0.6%
Sara Donahue 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 1.2% 2.6% 2.9% 5.6% 53.3% 31.5%
Annette Limoges 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 1.0% 1.3% 2.6% 25.9% 66.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.