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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
William Delong 17.1% 16.6% 14.2% 15.8% 14.5% 12.2% 7.6% 1.9% 0.1%
Buck Rathbun 18.8% 20.9% 14.9% 15.7% 13.5% 9.6% 5.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Isaac Thompson 15.1% 14.1% 15.8% 15.3% 14.3% 13.2% 10.3% 1.6% 0.3%
Marguerite Deseau 8.1% 8.4% 10.9% 11.1% 13.6% 17.6% 24.5% 5.1% 0.7%
Myles Hazen 8.5% 10.5% 11.9% 11.8% 12.7% 16.9% 20.2% 6.8% 0.7%
Marykate Hanus 21.3% 18.1% 18.2% 15.3% 12.5% 8.7% 5.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Jack Whitman 9.8% 9.9% 12.2% 13.3% 16.0% 17.1% 17.6% 3.8% 0.3%
Sara Donahue 1.1% 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 2.1% 3.2% 6.2% 53.3% 31.2%
Annette Limoges 0.2% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.5% 3.0% 25.6% 66.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.