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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+2.71vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.35+1.41vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy-0.01+0.90vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.67+0.94vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University-0.61-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.28-2.70vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University-0.40-2.42vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.01-0.10vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.73-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.2%1st Place
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3.41Boston University0.350.2%1st Place
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3.9Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.2%1st Place
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4.94McGill University-0.670.1%1st Place
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4.79Brandeis University-0.610.1%1st Place
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3.3University of New Hampshire0.280.2%1st Place
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4.58Northeastern University-0.400.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.010.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Delong | 17.1% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Buck Rathbun | 18.8% | 20.9% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Thompson | 15.1% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Marguerite Deseau | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 24.5% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Myles Hazen | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 6.8% | 0.7% |
| Marykate Hanus | 21.3% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Whitman | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Sara Donahue | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 53.3% | 31.2% |
| Annette Limoges | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 25.6% | 66.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.