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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.35+2.24vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+1.85vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University-0.40+1.60vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University-0.61+0.80vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.28-1.71vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.67-1.02vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.01-3.13vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.01-0.09vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.73-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Boston University0.350.2%1st Place
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3.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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4.6Northeastern University-0.400.1%1st Place
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4.8Brandeis University-0.610.1%1st Place
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3.29University of New Hampshire0.280.2%1st Place
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4.98McGill University-0.670.1%1st Place
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3.87Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.010.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buck Rathbun | 22.3% | 19.5% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Delong | 13.3% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Whitman | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Myles Hazen | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 23.2% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Marykate Hanus | 22.6% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Marguerite Deseau | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 22.7% | 6.7% | 0.5% |
| Isaac Thompson | 14.8% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sara Donahue | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 53.8% | 31.4% |
| Annette Limoges | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 25.7% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.