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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+4.90vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University-0.61+5.98vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.35+2.13vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.13+2.63vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-0.64+3.39vs Predicted
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6Boston University-0.83+2.99vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31-4.10vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52+5.26vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University-0.61-0.82vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.50-2.08vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.38vs Predicted
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12Williams College-1.62-0.45vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.01-6.49vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-0.86-5.00vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.26-7.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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7.98Northeastern University-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.13University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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6.63University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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8.39Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.99Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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2.9Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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13.26University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
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8.18Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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7.92Bates College-0.500.1%1st Place
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10.62Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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11.55Williams College-1.620.0%1st Place
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6.51McGill University-0.010.1%1st Place
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9.0Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.04Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Delong | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Adrien Blanc | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Sam Harris | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Blagden | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 2.3% |
| Nicholas David | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 2.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 30.0% | 24.5% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 55.6% |
| Myles Hazen | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Harrison Nash | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Jackson Harney | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 12.0% |
| Tess Halpern | 1.9% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 22.6% | 18.4% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 3.5% |
| Penelope Weekes | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.