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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+2.21vs Predicted
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2Boston University-0.83+7.74vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.35+2.85vs Predicted
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4Williams College-1.62+8.24vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+1.73vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.26+1.94vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.61+2.21vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-1.14+2.70vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.01-2.00vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering0.52-4.63vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.13-3.54vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.56vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.23-6.81vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-0.86-4.19vs Predicted
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15Bates College-0.50-6.22vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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9.74Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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5.85University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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12.24Williams College-1.620.0%1st Place
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6.73University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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7.94Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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9.21Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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10.7Bentley University-1.140.0%1st Place
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7.0McGill University-0.010.1%1st Place
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5.37Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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7.46University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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11.44Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.19Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
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9.81Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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8.78Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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14.32University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 27.7% | 20.6% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas David | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| Sam Harris | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Tess Halpern | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 21.7% | 17.0% |
| William Delong | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Myles Hazen | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 5.5% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| James Jagielski | 11.1% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Jackson Harney | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 12.2% |
| Grant Smith | 7.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Harrison Nash | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 16.6% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.