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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+2.21vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.52+3.29vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.13+4.42vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.35+2.05vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+1.71vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.23+0.31vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.50+1.72vs Predicted
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8Williams College-1.62+4.11vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+2.43vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-1.14+0.90vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.26-3.14vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-0.86-2.13vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.01-6.05vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University-0.61-5.07vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.83-5.07vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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5.29Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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7.42University of New Hampshire-0.130.1%1st Place
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6.05University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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6.31Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
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8.72Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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12.11Williams College-1.620.0%1st Place
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11.43Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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10.9Bentley University-1.140.0%1st Place
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7.86Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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9.87Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.95McGill University-0.010.1%1st Place
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8.93Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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9.93Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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14.33University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 28.1% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 12.5% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lund | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Sam Harris | 7.4% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Delong | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Grant Smith | 8.1% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Nash | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Tess Halpern | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 19.9% | 16.2% |
| Jackson Harney | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 10.4% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 6.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 4.3% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Myles Hazen | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas David | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 15.8% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.