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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+1.94vs Predicted
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2Bentley University-0.39+3.10vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.26+1.77vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.15+0.53vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+1.32vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.59-0.51vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.99+0.95vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.26-4.30vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-2.04-0.75vs Predicted
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11Boston University-2.40-1.03vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-3.50vs Predicted
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13Williams College-2.27-3.10vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.60-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94Salve Regina University0.620.3%1st Place
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5.1Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
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4.77University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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4.53McGill University-0.150.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.1%1st Place
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5.49Northeastern University-0.590.1%1st Place
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8.95Bates College-1.990.0%1st Place
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4.7University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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9.25Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
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9.97Boston University-2.400.0%1st Place
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8.5Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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9.9Williams College-2.270.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 28.1% | 22.7% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| James Frady | 10.3% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Richards | 13.5% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kai Latham | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colin Kenny | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 8.9% |
| Ted Richardsson | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Miles Laker | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 12.4% |
| Delanie Massenet | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 21.6% |
| Jason Dank | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 6.0% |
| Varya Kluev | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 19.5% |
| Damien Pearl | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.