← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University0.62+2.05vs Predicted
-
2Bentley University-0.39+3.18vs Predicted
-
3University of New Hampshire-0.26+1.97vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University-0.59+1.94vs Predicted
-
5McGill University-0.15-0.15vs Predicted
-
6University of New Hampshire-0.26-0.88vs Predicted
-
7Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82+2.12vs Predicted
-
8Olin College of Engineering-1.07-0.77vs Predicted
-
9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-2.03vs Predicted
-
10Bates College-1.99-0.08vs Predicted
-
11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.60+0.40vs Predicted
-
12Williams College-2.27-1.41vs Predicted
-
13Brandeis University-2.04-3.11vs Predicted
-
15Boston University-2.40-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.05Salve Regina University0.620.3%1st Place
-
5.18Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
-
4.97University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
-
5.94Northeastern University-0.590.1%1st Place
-
4.85McGill University-0.150.1%1st Place
-
5.12University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
-
9.12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
-
7.23Olin College of Engineering-1.070.1%1st Place
-
6.97University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.1%1st Place
-
9.92Bates College-1.990.0%1st Place
-
11.4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.600.0%1st Place
-
10.59Williams College-2.270.0%1st Place
-
9.89Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
-
10.77Boston University-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 30.1% | 21.9% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ted Richardsson | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 6.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Richards | 10.3% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Frady | 11.3% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jason Dank | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 6.3% |
| Benjamin Ely | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Kai Latham | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Colin Kenny | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 12.2% |
| Damien Pearl | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 19.2% | 30.4% |
| Varya Kluev | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 18.9% |
| Miles Laker | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 9.8% |
| Delanie Massenet | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.