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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+2.10vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University-0.59+3.75vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.26+1.98vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.26+1.01vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82+4.44vs Predicted
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6Olin College of Engineering-1.07+1.38vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-0.34vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.39-2.66vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.15-4.19vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-2.04+0.05vs Predicted
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11Bates College-1.99-1.08vs Predicted
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12Boston University-2.40-1.12vs Predicted
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13Williams College-2.27-2.53vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.60-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Salve Regina University0.620.3%1st Place
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5.75Northeastern University-0.590.1%1st Place
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4.98University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.01University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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9.44Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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7.38Olin College of Engineering-1.070.1%1st Place
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6.66University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.1%1st Place
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5.34Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
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4.81McGill University-0.150.1%1st Place
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10.05Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
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9.92Bates College-1.990.0%1st Place
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10.88Boston University-2.400.0%1st Place
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10.47Williams College-2.270.0%1st Place
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11.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 27.9% | 21.8% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Ted Richardsson | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Frady | 9.4% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jason Dank | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| Benjamin Ely | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Kai Latham | 7.0% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| John O'Connell | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Richards | 11.3% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Laker | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 13.0% |
| Colin Kenny | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% |
| Delanie Massenet | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 22.7% |
| Varya Kluev | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 17.4% |
| Damien Pearl | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 20.4% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.