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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bentley University-0.39+4.36vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.15+2.61vs Predicted
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3Olin College of Engineering-1.07+4.28vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.59+1.93vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.26+0.14vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.26-0.88vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82+2.13vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-2.04+1.87vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-1.99vs Predicted
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10Bates College-1.99-0.10vs Predicted
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11Boston University-2.40-0.09vs Predicted
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12Williams College-2.27-1.43vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.60-1.79vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.62-12.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
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4.61McGill University-0.150.1%1st Place
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7.28Olin College of Engineering-1.070.1%1st Place
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5.93Northeastern University-0.590.1%1st Place
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5.14University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.12University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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9.13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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9.87Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
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7.01University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.1%1st Place
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9.9Bates College-1.990.0%1st Place
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10.91Boston University-2.400.0%1st Place
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10.57Williams College-2.270.0%1st Place
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11.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.600.0%1st Place
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2.98Salve Regina University0.620.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John O'Connell | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Richards | 13.4% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Ely | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| James Frady | 9.2% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ted Richardsson | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jason Dank | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% |
| Miles Laker | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 13.3% |
| Kai Latham | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Colin Kenny | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 10.6% |
| Delanie Massenet | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 19.8% | 20.6% |
| Varya Kluev | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 18.5% |
| Damien Pearl | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 18.5% | 28.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 30.6% | 20.4% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.