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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.24+3.93vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.24+2.87vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.62+0.93vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.24+0.87vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.64+1.54vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.30+1.44vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.78-0.84vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.37-3.52vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.06-0.71vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.37-2.86vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.43-4.01vs Predicted
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12University of Miami-0.08-3.42vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida-0.14-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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4.87Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.93Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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4.87Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.54Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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7.44Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
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6.16Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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4.48University of South Florida1.370.2%1st Place
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8.29Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.14Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Miami0.430.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Miami-0.080.0%1st Place
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8.65University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 12.2% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 19.0% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 12.2% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 15.5% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mason Howell | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver West | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.