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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.62+2.99vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.24+2.88vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.64+3.49vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.24+0.94vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.78+1.13vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.24-1.12vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.08+1.46vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.37-3.50vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.30-1.69vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.37-2.89vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.06-2.67vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.43-4.80vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida-0.14-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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4.88Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.49Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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4.94University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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6.13Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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4.88Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Miami-0.080.0%1st Place
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4.5University of South Florida1.370.2%1st Place
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7.31Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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7.11Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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8.33Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Miami0.430.1%1st Place
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8.66University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 18.0% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 12.5% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 11.6% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 12.5% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Oliver West | 3.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 15.3% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Mason Howell | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Blake March | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.