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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.62+3.36vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.24+3.26vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.37+1.90vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.78+2.56vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.24+0.25vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.56-1.56vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.43+0.32vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.64-1.22vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.06-0.29vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.24-4.75vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.30-3.23vs Predicted
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12University of Miami-0.08-3.05vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.37-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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5.26University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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4.9University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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6.56Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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5.25Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.44University of South Florida1.560.2%1st Place
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7.32University of Miami0.430.1%1st Place
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6.78Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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8.71Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.25Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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7.77Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Miami-0.080.0%1st Place
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7.71Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 15.2% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 9.7% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 13.8% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 10.9% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 15.1% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Mason Howell | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 10.9% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Oliver West | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 27.6% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.