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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.24+4.34vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.62+2.32vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.24+2.26vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.37+0.94vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.37+2.63vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.64+0.95vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-0.06+1.63vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology0.78-1.61vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.56-4.75vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.30-2.24vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.24-5.74vs Predicted
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12University of Miami-0.08-3.02vs Predicted
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13University of Miami0.43-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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4.32Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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5.26Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.94University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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7.63Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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6.95Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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8.63Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.39Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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4.25University of South Florida1.560.2%1st Place
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7.76Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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5.26Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Miami-0.080.0%1st Place
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7.53University of Miami0.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 15.2% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 11.4% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.7% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Mason Howell | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 15.5% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 11.4% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Oliver West | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.