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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.24+4.34vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.56+2.39vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.24+2.27vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.78+2.52vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.62-0.67vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.08+2.84vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.64-0.22vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.24-2.66vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.37-4.18vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.37-2.50vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.30-3.24vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.43-4.34vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.06-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.39University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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5.27University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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6.52Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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4.33Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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8.84University of Miami-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.78Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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5.34Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.82University of South Florida1.370.2%1st Place
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7.5Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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7.76Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Miami0.430.0%1st Place
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8.8Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Penwarden | 11.8% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 14.4% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 15.7% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Oliver West | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 11.8% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 15.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Mason Howell | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.