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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.24+4.35vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.24+3.23vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology0.78+3.54vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.37+0.96vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.24+0.35vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.56-1.57vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.08+1.81vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.37-0.53vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.06-0.34vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.43-2.66vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.30-3.23vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.64-4.91vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.62-8.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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5.23University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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6.54Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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4.96University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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5.35Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.43University of South Florida1.560.2%1st Place
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8.81University of Miami-0.080.0%1st Place
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7.47Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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8.66Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Miami0.430.0%1st Place
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7.77Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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7.09Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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4.35Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Penwarden | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 11.2% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 16.5% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver West | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 25.8% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Mason Howell | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 15.9% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.