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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.37+3.99vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.24+3.30vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.24+2.25vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.78+2.56vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.30+2.85vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.56-1.61vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.24-1.75vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.62-3.80vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.43-1.64vs Predicted
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10University of Miami-0.08-1.26vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.64-4.21vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.37-4.22vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.06-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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5.3University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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5.25Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.56Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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7.85Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
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4.39University of South Florida1.560.2%1st Place
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5.25Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.2Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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7.36University of Miami0.430.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Miami-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.79Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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7.78Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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8.78Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 12.1% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 16.2% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 12.1% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 17.6% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Oliver West | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 22.4% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Howell | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.