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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.37+4.04vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.62+2.28vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.24+2.26vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.24+1.25vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.56-0.54vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.64+0.95vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.08+1.63vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.24-2.74vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.37-1.48vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.43-2.65vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology0.78-4.54vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.06-3.08vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.30-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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4.28Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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5.26Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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5.25University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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4.46University of South Florida1.560.2%1st Place
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6.95Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Miami-0.080.0%1st Place
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5.26Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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7.52Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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7.35University of Miami0.430.1%1st Place
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6.46Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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8.92Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.88Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 15.5% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 9.7% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 15.1% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Oliver West | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 24.1% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Mason Howell | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 26.6% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.