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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.86+2.93vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.43+5.58vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.56+1.57vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.24+1.39vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.62-0.58vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.24-0.61vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.37-1.91vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.64-1.08vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.37-1.33vs Predicted
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10University of Miami-0.08-1.17vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology0.78-4.39vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.30-3.93vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.06-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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7.58University of Miami0.430.0%1st Place
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4.57University of South Florida1.560.2%1st Place
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5.39Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.42Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.39Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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5.09University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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6.92Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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7.67Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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8.83University of Miami-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.61Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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8.07Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
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8.92Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 18.6% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 15.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 9.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 14.2% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 9.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 12.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Oliver West | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Mason Howell | 2.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.