Race 10A

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cole Schweda 14.8% 13.6% 13.6% 13.7% 11.9% 10.0% 9.5% 5.0% 3.5% 2.9% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Hilton Kamps 3.4% 5.0% 4.7% 5.8% 8.0% 7.7% 8.6% 10.6% 13.1% 14.8% 11.9% 6.4% 0.0%
Brent Penwarden 11.5% 9.7% 10.0% 11.4% 11.1% 10.3% 12.0% 9.4% 7.7% 4.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Efe Guder 13.5% 14.7% 14.8% 13.1% 11.3% 10.3% 7.9% 6.6% 3.9% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Shay Bridge 5.7% 6.3% 6.5% 7.9% 7.8% 8.8% 9.1% 11.7% 11.3% 10.9% 9.9% 4.1% 0.0%
Brendan Smucker 6.5% 7.7% 7.1% 7.1% 8.2% 9.2% 11.6% 11.4% 12.8% 9.7% 6.6% 2.1% 0.0%
Kay Brunsvold 20.7% 18.3% 15.5% 11.2% 10.0% 8.8% 6.1% 4.6% 2.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Brent Penwarden 11.5% 9.7% 10.0% 11.4% 11.1% 10.3% 12.0% 9.4% 7.7% 4.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0%
David Webb 5.0% 5.7% 6.7% 5.8% 7.6% 6.9% 9.0% 10.2% 11.6% 13.3% 12.3% 5.9% 0.0%
Jackson McGeough 3.4% 3.7% 4.3% 7.0% 6.1% 9.1% 9.5% 11.1% 11.7% 13.9% 14.8% 5.4% 0.0%
Humberto Porrata 12.2% 11.5% 12.9% 11.6% 10.5% 12.4% 7.8% 9.0% 6.3% 3.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Oliver West 2.6% 2.5% 2.8% 4.1% 5.2% 4.1% 6.7% 8.3% 10.8% 15.8% 20.9% 16.2% 0.0%
Suhas Medidi 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 1.3% 2.3% 2.4% 2.2% 2.1% 4.4% 7.4% 16.0% 58.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.