Race 11A

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Humberto Porrata 11.0% 11.7% 10.6% 13.0% 11.7% 10.2% 10.5% 8.7% 5.5% 3.7% 2.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Cole Schweda 14.1% 16.7% 13.6% 13.1% 11.1% 9.9% 8.5% 5.3% 4.7% 2.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Brent Penwarden 10.9% 9.1% 12.3% 10.9% 10.3% 9.8% 10.8% 10.7% 7.3% 5.1% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0%
David Webb 3.7% 4.1% 5.2% 8.1% 7.2% 7.4% 8.6% 11.9% 12.1% 12.6% 13.9% 5.2% 0.0%
Hilton Kamps 4.1% 5.5% 4.2% 6.4% 7.7% 7.4% 8.1% 9.9% 13.2% 12.4% 14.5% 6.6% 0.0%
Kay Brunsvold 19.7% 16.5% 17.3% 11.9% 11.5% 9.2% 5.8% 3.6% 2.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson McGeough 4.5% 5.1% 5.0% 5.5% 7.9% 8.3% 6.7% 9.4% 11.9% 15.1% 13.6% 7.0% 0.0%
Efe Guder 16.0% 15.2% 13.5% 10.6% 10.1% 9.8% 9.3% 7.2% 4.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Oliver West 2.5% 2.6% 2.7% 3.6% 4.7% 6.5% 9.4% 8.1% 11.9% 14.0% 21.1% 12.9% 0.0%
Brendan Smucker 6.4% 7.3% 8.3% 8.1% 9.1% 9.9% 10.5% 10.0% 11.0% 10.9% 5.9% 2.6% 0.0%
Suhas Medidi 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 1.4% 2.2% 2.0% 3.6% 4.5% 6.9% 14.6% 60.7% 0.0%
Brent Penwarden 10.9% 9.1% 12.3% 10.9% 10.3% 9.8% 10.8% 10.7% 7.3% 5.1% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Shay Bridge 5.9% 5.1% 6.3% 8.0% 7.3% 9.4% 9.8% 11.6% 11.0% 12.8% 9.0% 3.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.