Race 12A

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cole Schweda 15.6% 14.3% 12.8% 13.3% 11.7% 10.8% 7.0% 6.5% 4.0% 2.4% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Shay Bridge 4.7% 6.4% 7.5% 8.1% 8.1% 9.3% 8.2% 11.0% 13.0% 11.3% 9.3% 3.1% 0.0%
Brent Penwarden 11.4% 9.6% 10.6% 10.8% 11.6% 10.1% 10.9% 10.1% 7.9% 4.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Jackson McGeough 3.1% 3.8% 5.0% 6.4% 5.3% 7.9% 9.7% 10.0% 11.0% 16.2% 14.8% 6.8% 0.0%
Humberto Porrata 11.3% 12.4% 13.0% 12.5% 9.9% 9.3% 9.3% 8.8% 6.5% 4.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Efe Guder 14.1% 15.1% 13.2% 12.2% 11.8% 10.6% 8.5% 6.1% 4.2% 3.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
David Webb 5.6% 4.9% 6.2% 5.6% 8.1% 8.1% 7.7% 10.2% 14.2% 11.5% 11.7% 6.2% 0.0%
Kay Brunsvold 20.1% 18.7% 15.0% 11.8% 9.3% 9.1% 7.2% 4.6% 2.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Hilton Kamps 4.0% 3.8% 6.0% 6.4% 7.5% 8.8% 11.0% 9.0% 12.0% 13.9% 13.5% 4.1% 0.0%
Brendan Smucker 6.7% 6.6% 8.0% 7.7% 8.8% 9.5% 11.6% 12.1% 9.6% 9.7% 7.3% 2.4% 0.0%
Brent Penwarden 11.4% 9.6% 10.6% 10.8% 11.6% 10.1% 10.9% 10.1% 7.9% 4.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Oliver West 2.7% 2.6% 2.0% 3.9% 6.0% 4.5% 6.6% 8.6% 11.2% 14.8% 19.4% 17.7% 0.0%
Suhas Medidi 0.7% 1.8% 0.7% 1.3% 1.9% 2.0% 2.3% 3.0% 4.2% 7.5% 15.9% 58.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.