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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.51+2.60vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.72+3.37vs Predicted
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3Rollins College1.24+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.88+1.03vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.55+0.88vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.29+0.54vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.94-2.22vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.11-1.13vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.47-0.59vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.94-5.22vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.31-0.93vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-2.43vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida-0.15-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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5.37University of Miami0.720.1%1st Place
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4.17Rollins College1.240.2%1st Place
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5.03University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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5.88University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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6.54Rollins College0.290.1%1st Place
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4.78Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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6.87University of South Florida0.110.1%1st Place
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8.41Rollins College-0.470.0%1st Place
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4.78Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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10.07Embry-Riddle University-1.310.0%1st Place
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9.57Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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7.69University of South Florida-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 21.1% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Long | 8.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 17.0% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Milo Fleming | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sara Menesale | 7.6% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Zi Burns | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 18.8% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sunny Odom | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 17.3% | 44.5% | 0.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 22.4% | 29.2% | 0.0% |
| Beatriz Newland | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.